June 2025 (1 month ago)

How to stop making bad decisions

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3 min read (418 words)

Start by tracking bad decisions.

Examples of bad decisions I’ve made:

  • Almost got hit by a parking lot entry gate arm.
  • Destroyed a glass bottle by putting it on the edge of the table and it fell.
  • Ate McDonalds and Soda and hated it (like I knew I would).
  • Almost got run over by walking in front of a tram.
  • Donated to a political campaign and got spam mail by them.
  • Sat on glasses.
  • Talked to an incompetent random person for too long, which is fault of my open-mindedness.
  • Should’ve asked how much the bun costs at the supermarket; It was actually a sweet bun and not a bread bun so $5 instead of $1.

I made a lot of bad decisions. Most of them were minor, some of them major but I didn’t know any better, but because I reviewed my bad decisions I’m now able to make fewer of them.

From these you can come up with inductive principles.

By inductive, I mean from multiple samples creating general conclusions rather than top-down reasoning. Used Obsidian for this.

  • INATTENTION Almost got hit by a parking lot entry gate arm.
  • ARROGANCE - KNEW IT WOULD BE BAD THOUGHT IT WOULD BE FINE Destroyed a glass bottle by putting it on the edge of the table and it fell.
  • AROGANCE Ate McDonalds and Soda and hated it (like I knew I would).
  • INATTENTION Almost got run over by walking in front of a tram.
  • ASSUMED GOOD IN THEM Donated to a political campaign and got spam mail by them.
  • INATTENTION, PLACE THINGS WHERE THEY SHOULD GO Sat on glasses.
  • TRUST YOURSELF - DON’T IGNORE INNATE FEELINGS Talked to X, who is incompetent, for too long.
  • ASSUMPTION - PRESUMING ONE THING TO BE TRUE Hmart should’ve asked how much the bun costs; It was actually a sweet bun and not a bread bun so expensive

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Then after a period of time, ask yourself what the major problems are and stop doing them.

Some of the biggest issues were:

  • Arrogance (knowing something is bad but still doing it) - 13
  • Inattention (tunnel vision) - 11
  • Rushing, Hastiness - 8
  • Assumption (presuming one thing to be true) - 8
  • Beware the PHYSICAL ZONE OF DANGER - 8
  • Preparation (not doing preparation in advance) - 9
  • Trust yourself/don’t trust other people unless they are a subject area expert - 7

So I realized that and started doing them a lot less now.

Now I only realize minor problems from time to time:

  • You only get one chance (to talk to someone interesting, etc.)
  • Document everything (packages, housing, etc.)
  • Have good habits (I don’t make bad decisions, but it is still difficult to habitually do work every day)